- 10 cents now and later candy full#
- 10 cents now and later candy software#
- 10 cents now and later candy series#
Note that a candy can be one or two or all of these things: A Snickers is a chocolate (+20), peanut (+10), caramel (+3), nougat (+2) candy that we’d expect to have in the ballpark of a 70 percent win rate, and it does in fact have a 77 percent win rate. Whether it’s in bar form or a bunch of little candies makes no major difference. A candy being hard - like a lollipop or jawbreaker - actually knocks about 5 points off its win percentage. And nougat and caramel don’t bring a ton to the table. If it had nuts, we’d also expect its win percentage to rise by 10, with wafers or crisped rice rising by 9.
If it’s fruity, we’d expect it to rise by 10. If a hypothetical candy had chocolate in it, we’d expect its win percentage to rise by about 20 points. The table adjacent to this paragraph simplifies that “coef.” column.
10 cents now and later candy full#
Sure enough, this bears out in our data: For giggles we also put in “one dime” and “one quarter” to see how desirable they were, and the dime - which is neither chocolaty, nor fruity, nor full of caramel, peanuts, wafers, et cetera - beat 32 percent of competitors, and the quarter beat 46 percent. According to the regression, about half the variance observed in the quality can be explained by these nine properties of candy, which isn’t great but also isn’t awful - and is thus enough for us to work with.Ī Halloween candy that has none of those ingredient components would be expected, as a baseline, to win a matchup about 35 percent of the time. That’s a lot to take in! In general, here’s what this information says.
10 cents now and later candy software#
With a full typology in hand and access to some of the most powerful statistical software available on the market, my questions were answered. Were they chocolate? Did they contain peanuts or almonds? How about crisped rice or other biscuit-esque component, like a Kit Kat or malted milk ball? Was it fruit flavored? Was it made of hard candy, like a lollipop or a strawberry bon bon? Was there nougat? What even is nougat? I know I like nougat, but I still have remotely no clue what the damn thing is. With the fervency of a stay-at-home dad who recently learned of a child’s mild peanut allergy, I scoured the internet for descriptive ingredient data about all the candies in our data set. So if it’s not price or sugar, there must be something about what’s in the candies that make some better and some worse. After a spooooky regression with a truly hellish r-squared, there’s no evident link here between price, sugar and perceived quality. I pulled bulk prices from Candy Warehouse.
10 cents now and later candy series#
I pulled fun-sized portion sugar content from a series of dieting websites ( FatSecret, MyFitnessPal), and in cases of particularly hard-to-find candies, I just went to the nearby drugstore. as of 2013, and market research showed it was the top snack-sized candy in Halloween times.īut what made some candies more desirable than others? Was it price? Maybe it was just sugar content? Nah, neither really. The brand was the best-selling candy in the U.S.
Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups and their spinoffs come out huge here, taking four of the top 10 spots and appearing pretty synonymous with the platonic ideal of Halloween candy.
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